|Monday September 15, 2003 |
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MARTIN'S TEAM EYES SUPER WEEKEND
If
he gets over 59%, the November convention is only a formality
by Angelo Persichilli
THE HILL TIMES
Okay folks, the federal Liberal leadership
race might well be over at the end of next weekend as you already know, and
according to the new procedures for the election of the new leader of the
Liberal Party, if Paul Martin wins 59 per cent of the total delegates during
the so-called "Super Weekend" vote, the Nov. 15th leadership convention in
Toronto will be only a formality.
Hereıs how it works.
In total, the Liberal
members entitled to vote in the upcoming November convention are 531,536,
spread out in 301 ridings, clubs and commissions across the country. "The
Liberal Party," said the partyıs President Stephen LeDrew, "is being called
the most successful political party in the history of Canada after membership
numbers reached more than 531,000 last June."
Contrary to what many
might believe, the highest number of memberships has been sold, according to
the official site of the Liberal Party of Canada, not in Ontario, where some
120,292 memberships were bought up and in the province considered the homeland
of the so-called "instant Liberals," but in New Brunswick where some 148,213
have been sold. This is because of the different rules applied for the
membership to the Liberal Party.
Next weekend, each
riding will elect 12 delegates for the convention. There are also almost 900
delegates to be elected by the Aboriginal Peoplesı Commission, the National
Womenıs Liberal Commission, the Seniorsı Commission, and the Young Liberals of
Canada Clubs. The Young Liberals of Canada Clubs have hundreds of branches
throughout Canada and each club will elect four delegates: two men and two
women. The Womenıs Commissions will elect one delegate from each club and two
from each provincial and territorial organization and the two each from the
aboriginal commissions.
In total, in the
upcoming weekend, the 531,536 Liberals members will elect a total of 5,400
delegates. Broken down, there will be some 4,500 delegates from the 301
ridings and 900 delegates from the clubs and commissions. On Nov. 15, Liberals
will also vote for the so called ex-officio members. The ex-officio members
include: sitting Liberal MPs and the Liberal candidates who ran in the last
general election, the 301 presidents of the Liberal ridings, the Liberal
Senators, members and former members of the Privy Council and members of the
national executive committee, past leaders, the leaders of the Liberal Parties
in each province and territories.
The total number of
the ex-officio members is almost 800, but the ex-officio members are the only
delegates whose votes are not already committed after the "Super Weekend" next
weekend. This means that if Paul Martin gets 59 per cent of the delegates next
weekend, or 4,500, he can be considered mathematically the new leader of the
Liberal Party and the next Prime Minister, and thatıs even if (of course itıs
not the case) all the ex-officio delegates will vote against him in the next
November convention. Of course, Iım taking for granted that Martinıs
organization will bring all those delegates to Toronto on Nov. 15.
Martinıs organizers
say they will feel much more comfortable with a 65 per cent win.
The vote will take
place over three days, Sept. 19- 21. The 4,500 members engaged in the
operation this weekend will have to vote twice: their first vote cast for the
leader of the party, and their second vote for the delegates who will head to
the convention in November. The most important is the first vote. In fact, it
is this vote that will decide how many committed delegates the candidates will
have for the November convention.
The second vote, in
fact, is needed only to select the names of the delegates belonging the slates
presented by Paul Martinıs or Sheila Coppsı organizations.
As for the results,
the unofficial ones will be available almost immediately; for the official
results you have to wait until Sunday for the votes obtained by the
candidates, and Monday for the names of the delegates.
Liberal Memberships by the Numbers in each Province:
New Brunswick
148,213
Ontario
120,292
Newfoundland and Labrador
82,937
Quebec
66,000
British Columbia
37,255
Nova Scotia
26,631
Alberta
20,246
Manitoba
10,079
Saskatchewan
9,598
Prince Edward Island
9,224
Yukon
610
Northwest Territories
371
Nunavut
80
Total
531,536 (*)
(*) (Source: Liberal Party of Canada)
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